Cross-market arb example (sanitized)

Why this is in front of you now

Attention Priority is separate from the BUY/OFFER/WATCH/PASS recommendation. Score 26.

• PROFIT_PENNY — Profit < $25 (2300¢) — nuisance scale+2
• LIQUIDITY_OK — Liquidity 68+9
• TTS_FAST — ~12d to sell+14
• CONF_HIGH — Confidence 94+12
• RISK_MODERATE — Risk 37+2
• EVIDENCE_FRESH — Median evidence age 9d+5
• ACTION_PASS — Recommendation is PASS-18

Caps: CAP_PENNY_FLIP_MAX_LOW

Why this opportunity?

• Ask materially above recommended max buy.
• Asking prices and active auctions are shown for context but are not treated as sold comps.
• Strong recent sold comps support the expected resale value (median-based).
• Resale estimate blends match quality, freshness, and source reliability.
• High ROI, but expected profit is too small to justify primary attention.
• Confidence measures estimate quality — not whether the deal is good.
• Risk score rises with authentication, liquidity, and execution uncertainty.

Economics

Daddio Deal Score breakdown

PROVISIONAL_V1 · contributions from engine model

• Profit potential+17.9
• ROI+5.9
• Liquidity+9.5
• Cash velocity+9.2
• Evidence quality+6.0
• Confidence+7.5
• Capital efficiency+5.6
• Long-term optionality+3.2
• Risk penalty−13
• Penny-flip dampener−25

Overall 27 / 100

Evidence

Sold comps frame market value more strongly than asks or auctions.

• Sold comp · market value anchor$160.00

  MarketNuSold · 2026-07-01 · 7d fresh · match exact · reliability high

• Sold comp · market value anchor$155.00

  MarketNuSold · 2026-07-01 · 9d fresh · match exact · reliability high

• Sold comp · market value anchor$162.00

  MarketNuSold · 2026-07-01 · 11d fresh · match exact · reliability high

• Asking price · context only$100.00

  MarketMu · 2026-08-01 · 2d fresh · match exact · reliability medium

Arbitrage economics

Price gaps are not guaranteed executable arbitrage. Fees and shipping on both sides are modeled in acquisition and selling economics.

Risks & do-nothing