Opportunity Lab

Dev

Sealed vintage console game (sanitized)

Full inspection of sanitized fixture economics and engine reasoning.

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Opportunity Lab · Sanitized Simulation Data

Fixture universe only. Not live marketplace deals. No scrapers, no scheduled scans, no alerts.

PASSAttention · Low31/ 100QUICK FLIP · VALUE BUY

Why this is in front of you now

Attention Priority is separate from the BUY/OFFER/WATCH/PASS recommendation. Score 31.

PROFIT_PENNY — Profit < $25 (1600¢) — nuisance scale+2
LIQUIDITY_STRONG — Liquidity 82+14
TTS_NORMAL — ~20d to sell+8
CONF_HIGH — Confidence 90+12
RISK_LOW — Risk 20+8
EVIDENCE_FRESH — Median evidence age 19d+5
ACTION_PASS — Recommendation is PASS-18

Caps: CAP_PENNY_FLIP_MAX_LOW

Expected net profit

$16.00

ROI 8.5% · Capital $189.00

Max buy

Do not pay more than -$15.50.

Limiting constraint: absolute_profit

Why this max buy

Profit constraint: -$4.00
ROI constraint: $161.83
Risk buffer: $8.00
Confidence buffer: $3.50
Limiting: absolute_profit

Why this opportunity?

Ask materially above recommended max buy.
Strong recent sold comps support the expected resale value (median-based).
Resale estimate blends match quality, freshness, and source reliability.
High ROI, but expected profit is too small to justify primary attention.
Confidence measures estimate quality — not whether the deal is good.
Risk score rises with authentication, liquidity, and execution uncertainty.

Economics

Asking price

$180.00

All-in acquisition

$189.00

Conservative resale

$230.00

Expected resale

$240.00

Upside resale

$250.00

Selling expenses

$35.00

Net proceeds

$205.00

Expected net profit

$16.00

ROI

8.5%

Capital efficiency / $1k

$0.85

Time to sell

FAST · ~20d

Exit strategy

QUICK FLIP

Liquidity breakdown

82 VERY_HIGH

LIQUIDITY_SCORED

Risk breakdown

20 LOW

RISK_AVERAGED_FACTORS
HIGHER_SCORE_MEANS_MORE_RISK
COMP_WEAKNESS: LOW

Confidence breakdown

90 VERY_HIGH

CONFIDENCE_IS_NOT_DEAL_QUALITY

Daddio Deal Score breakdown

PROVISIONAL_V1 · contributions from engine model

Profit potential+16.5
ROI+4.9
Liquidity+11.5
Cash velocity+8.2
Evidence quality+6.0
Confidence+7.2
Capital efficiency+4.1
Long-term optionality+4.4
Risk penalty−7
Penny-flip dampener−25

Overall 31 / 100

Evidence

Sold comps frame market value more strongly than asks or auctions.

Sold comp · market value anchor$240.00
GameSold · 2026-07-01 · 12d fresh · match exact · reliability high
Sold comp · market value anchor$230.00
GameSold · 2026-07-01 · 19d fresh · match exact · reliability high
Sold comp · market value anchor$250.00
GameSold · 2026-07-01 · 27d fresh · match exact · reliability high

Risks & do-nothing

Key risks

Residual risk

What could go wrong

Residual market and execution risk.
Fees/shipping may exceed model assumptions.

If we do nothing

No capital deployed; continue monitoring if WATCH, otherwise skip.

Operator evaluation (ephemeral lab state · id fix-h-game)

Why this is in front of you now

Attention Priority is separate from the BUY/OFFER/WATCH/PASS recommendation. Score 31.

PROFIT_PENNY — Profit < $25 (1600¢) — nuisance scale+2

LIQUIDITY_STRONG — Liquidity 82+14

TTS_NORMAL — ~20d to sell+8

CONF_HIGH — Confidence 90+12

RISK_LOW — Risk 20+8

EVIDENCE_FRESH — Median evidence age 19d+5

ACTION_PASS — Recommendation is PASS-18

Caps: CAP_PENNY_FLIP_MAX_LOW

Why this opportunity?

Ask materially above recommended max buy.

Strong recent sold comps support the expected resale value (median-based).

Resale estimate blends match quality, freshness, and source reliability.

High ROI, but expected profit is too small to justify primary attention.

Confidence measures estimate quality — not whether the deal is good.

Risk score rises with authentication, liquidity, and execution uncertainty.

Evidence

Sold comps frame market value more strongly than asks or auctions.

Sold comp · market value anchor$240.00

GameSold · 2026-07-01 · 12d fresh · match exact · reliability high

Sold comp · market value anchor$230.00

GameSold · 2026-07-01 · 19d fresh · match exact · reliability high

Sold comp · market value anchor$250.00

GameSold · 2026-07-01 · 27d fresh · match exact · reliability high