Opportunity Lab

Dev

Autographed jersey (sanitized)

Full inspection of sanitized fixture economics and engine reasoning.

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Opportunity Lab · Sanitized Simulation Data

Fixture universe only. Not live marketplace deals. No scrapers, no scheduled scans, no alerts.

PASSAttention · Ignore24/ 100VALUE BUY · LONG TERM INVESTMENT

Why this is in front of you now

Attention Priority is separate from the BUY/OFFER/WATCH/PASS recommendation. Score -32.

PROFIT_NON_POSITIVE — Non-positive profit -1818¢-25
LIQUIDITY_THIN — Liquidity 50+3
TTS_VERY_SLOW — ~75d to sell-12
CONF_HIGH — Confidence 78+12
RISK_LOW — Risk 35+8
ACTION_PASS — Recommendation is PASS-18

Caps: CAP_NON_POSITIVE_PROFIT_IGNORE

Expected net profit

-$18.18

ROI -2.0% · Capital $885.00

Max buy

Do not pay more than $610.12.

Limiting constraint: absolute_profit

Why this max buy

Profit constraint: $631.82
ROI constraint: $687.35
Risk buffer: $14.00
Confidence buffer: $7.70
Limiting: absolute_profit

Why this opportunity?

Expected net profit below pass threshold.
Strong recent sold comps support the expected resale value (median-based).
Resale estimate blends match quality, freshness, and source reliability.
Confidence measures estimate quality — not whether the deal is good.
Risk score rises with authentication, liquidity, and execution uncertainty.

Economics

Asking price

$850.00

All-in acquisition

$885.00

Conservative resale

$980.00

Expected resale

$1,041.82

Upside resale

$1,100.00

Selling expenses

$175.00

Net proceeds

$866.82

Expected net profit

-$18.18

ROI

-2.0%

Capital efficiency / $1k

-$0.21

Time to sell

SLOW · ~75d

Exit strategy

VALUE BUY

Liquidity breakdown

50 MODERATE

LIQUIDITY_SCORED

Risk breakdown

35 LOW

RISK_AVERAGED_FACTORS
HIGHER_SCORE_MEANS_MORE_RISK
AUTHENTICATION: MODERATE
COMP_WEAKNESS: LOW
LIQUIDITY_RISK: MODERATE
EXECUTION: MODERATE

Confidence breakdown

78 HIGH

CONFIDENCE_IS_NOT_DEAL_QUALITY

Daddio Deal Score breakdown

PROVISIONAL_V1 · contributions from engine model

Profit potential+2.2
ROI+4.1
Liquidity+7.0
Cash velocity+2.4
Evidence quality+6.0
Confidence+6.2
Capital efficiency+2.7
Long-term optionality+5.6
Risk penalty−12

Overall 24 / 100

Evidence

Sold comps frame market value more strongly than asks or auctions.

Sold comp · market value anchor$1,100.00
MemoSold · 2026-07-01 · 40d fresh · match near · reliability high
Sold comp · market value anchor$980.00
MemoSold · 2026-07-01 · 55d fresh · match near · reliability high
Sold comp · market value anchor$1,050.00
MemoSold · 2026-07-01 · 70d fresh · match loose · reliability high

Risks & do-nothing

Key risks

Residual risk

What could go wrong

Residual market and execution risk.
Fees/shipping may exceed model assumptions.

If we do nothing

No capital deployed; continue monitoring if WATCH, otherwise skip.

Operator evaluation (ephemeral lab state · id fix-e-memo)

Why this is in front of you now

Attention Priority is separate from the BUY/OFFER/WATCH/PASS recommendation. Score -32.

PROFIT_NON_POSITIVE — Non-positive profit -1818¢-25

LIQUIDITY_THIN — Liquidity 50+3

TTS_VERY_SLOW — ~75d to sell-12

CONF_HIGH — Confidence 78+12

RISK_LOW — Risk 35+8

ACTION_PASS — Recommendation is PASS-18

Caps: CAP_NON_POSITIVE_PROFIT_IGNORE

Why this opportunity?

Expected net profit below pass threshold.

Strong recent sold comps support the expected resale value (median-based).

Resale estimate blends match quality, freshness, and source reliability.

Confidence measures estimate quality — not whether the deal is good.

Risk score rises with authentication, liquidity, and execution uncertainty.

Evidence

Sold comps frame market value more strongly than asks or auctions.

Sold comp · market value anchor$1,100.00

MemoSold · 2026-07-01 · 40d fresh · match near · reliability high

Sold comp · market value anchor$980.00

MemoSold · 2026-07-01 · 55d fresh · match near · reliability high

Sold comp · market value anchor$1,050.00

MemoSold · 2026-07-01 · 70d fresh · match loose · reliability high